If we're looking to avoid a business that is in decline, what are the trends that can warn us ahead of time? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Ultimately this means that the company is earning less per dollar invested and on top of that, it's shrinking its base of capital employed. In light of that, from a first glance at Level Biotechnology (GTSM:3118), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Level Biotechnology, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = NT$58m (NT$714m - NT$184m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Thus, Level Biotechnology has an ROCE of 11%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Healthcare industry average of 8.5% it's much better.
View our latest analysis for Level Biotechnology
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Level Biotechnology's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Level Biotechnology has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Level Biotechnology. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 18% that they were earning five years ago. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Level Biotechnology becoming one if things continue as they have.
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 3.4% in the last five years. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
If you'd like to know more about Level Biotechnology, we've spotted 3 warning signs, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. *Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020
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